I will posting my thoughts and forecasts here from time to time here about the significant weather events for the NY/NJ/Conn tri-state area.

Our first potential for a winter storm this season will be on Sunday night into Monday. As of now, it is too hard for me to forecast snowfall amounts as the models continue to flip back and forth on the storm track and the synoptics. After yesterday’s trend closer to the coast, the models last night shifted back east again, keeping most significant precip east of our area. This morning 6z runs have now shifted back west. However, this storm doesn’t appear that it will give us a significant snowfall at this time, as precip types will be an issue and it will be a quick mover. I will have an update later.