Preliminary Snowfall Amounts for Friday’s Storm

Here is forecast map for snowfall amounts around the tristate:

http://img370.imageshack.us/img370/874/blankmapsf1.png

These are preliminary as there is still alot of inconsistency in models handle this storm. However, the trend has been in the last few days for a weaker and further east storm track. This will decrease precip amounts across the tri-state area, especially north and west of NYC. Snowfall amounts over 3″ appear unlikely this time. Precip types, may vary acros sthe area, as the storm tries to get better organized near us in the upper-levels. Soundings and Bufkit profiles show a warming layer at 900mb to 925mb. This may drag warmer air aloft to mix with or change snow to sleet, freezing rain, for some inland areas, Thurs night and Friday morning cutting down on snowfall amounts. Along coast, enough warm air should come to change the snow to sleet and rain before daybreak Friday. I used a blend of the GFS and GGEM QPF fields for this forecast (.25″ – .50″)

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