A series of disturbances will be moving across the across the nation early next week. But the flow is too progressive for the northern and southern streams to phase. Temperatures will also moderate towards the end of week, as a more zonal flow develops. High temperatures will could reach near 50 degrees on Saturday. These temperatures are actually close to average for early March. But it will feel much better than frigid temperatures, we have seen so far this week.

A strong southern stream disturbance will cause a low to develop over the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday. Then this low will track off the Southeast US coast on Friday. Current model guidance doesn’t show any northern stream interaction. A trough moving into Central US, will also prevent this low from turning north up the coast. So only some high clouds are expected from this system Friday night, as it lows to our well to our south and east. The NAM and GGEM show this storm coming close enough to brush the coastal with some rain. But these model solutions are likely too amplified, given the progressive nature of the pattern.

A cold front will approach the area on Sunday with chance of rain or wet snow showers.  Behind this front, temperatures will average slightly below normal, early next week. Our storm chances will increase later next week with a new ridge building on the West Coast and  energy ejecting out Southwest US.  How these storm chances will evolve for us, will depend alot on the positioning and strength of the ULL or polar vortex over Canada. Which will we likely see various model solutions on, through this weekend.